§ 04Research: papers, preprints, methods
Peer-reviewed papers
& working drafts.
Work on urban dynamics and geospatial methods — gentrification, accessibility, large-scale European spatial-data engineering and housing-market analysis.
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01
2026-06
When metro openings capitalise into residential rents: a seven-city European studyStaggered difference-in-differences across seven European cities (Milano, Amsterdam, Copenhagen, Paris, Helsinki, Rennes, Roma; n = 42,004). The largest price response (a step of roughly +12%) appears at maturity, two or more years after opening. Bootstrap inference on few-cluster data (G = 7 cities). Maturity step positive under every leave-one-city-out.
WORKING-PAPER
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02
2026-05
Postcode boundary estimation from crowdsourced address data: a Voronoi approachOSM address points, kNN outlier removal, point Voronoi, and polygon dissolution, calibrated against authoritative NL and DK postcode layers (5,160 polygons combined). IoU saturates near 0.7 at ~300 seeds per postcode. Applied to Italy (4,209 CAP polygons) where no free authoritative layer exists. GeoJSON output ships with per-polygon seed count.
PREPRINT
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03
2024-06
Agent-based simulation of neighbourhood turnoverCalibrated ABM for 10-year turnover in Amsterdam on Kadaster + CBS microdata. Robustness checks and sensitivity analyses across move-probability priors.
WORKING-PAPER
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04
2023-09
Parcel-level flood-risk classification for insurersSupervised classification on LiDAR, rainfall radar and cadastre features. Reports 90%+ balanced accuracy on held-out insurable-loss claims.
PAPER
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05
2025-11
Hedonic rent prediction across 15 EU metrosA parcel-level hedonic model combining PostGIS spatial joins, gradient boosting and amenity-weighted isochrones. Cross-validated out-of-sample; preprint under review.
PAPER
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06
2024-10
Open cadastre data in the EU: a coverage reviewSurvey of cadastral data access and licensing across NL, DE, BE, FR, IT, ES. Tabulates fields, refresh cadence, and reproducibility gaps.
REVIEW
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